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The World at 350: A Last Chance for Civilization |
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By Bill McKibben
TomDispatch.com
Sunday 11 May 2008
Even
for Americans, constitutionally convinced that there will always be a
second act, and a third, and a do-over after that, and, if necessary, a
little public repentance and forgiveness and a Brand New Start - even
for us, the world looks a little Terminal right now.
It's
not just the economy. We've gone through swoons before. It's that gas
at $4 a gallon means we're running out, at least of the cheap stuff
that built our sprawling society. It's that when we try to turn corn
into gas, it sends the price of a loaf of bread shooting upwards and
starts food riots on three continents. It's that everything is so
inextricably tied together. It's that, all of a sudden, those grim Club of Rome types who, way back in the 1970s, went on and on about the "limits to growth" suddenly seem? how best to put it, right.
All of a sudden it isn't morning in America, it's dusk on planet Earth.
There's
a number - a new number - that makes this point most powerfully. It may
now be the most important number on Earth: 350. As in parts per million
(ppm) of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
A few weeks ago, our foremost climatologist, NASA's Jim Hansen, submitted a paper to Science magazine with several co-authors. The abstract attached to it argued - and I have never read stronger language in a scientific paper
- "if humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which
civilization developed and to which life on earth is adapted,
paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will
need to be reduced from its current 385 ppm to at most 350 ppm." Hansen
cites six irreversible tipping points - massive sea level rise and huge
changes in rainfall patterns, among them - that we'll pass if we don't
get back down to 350 soon; and the first of them, judging by last
summer's insane melt of Arctic ice, may already be behind us.
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Women Face Tougher Impact From Climate Change |
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By Deborah Zabarenko
Reuters
Wednesday 07 May 2008
Washington - Climate change is harder on women in poor countries, where mothers
stay in areas hit by drought, deforestation or crop failure as men move to literally
greener pastures, a Nobel Peace laureate said on Tuesday.
"Many destructive activities against the environment disproportionately
affect women, because most women in the world, and especially in the developing
world, are very dependent on primary natural resources: land, forests, waters,"
said Wangari Maathai of Kenya.
"Women are very immediately affected, and usually women and children can't
run away," said Maathai, who won the 2004 Nobel Peace Prize for her work
on sustainable development.
"Men can trek and go looking for greener pastures in other areas in other
countries ... but for women, they're usually left on site to face the consequences,"
she said. "So when there is deforestation, when there is drought, when
there is crop failure, it is the women and children who are the most adversely
affected."
Maathai was in Washington with 1997 Nobel Peace laureate Jody Williams, who
got the award for her work in creating an international treaty to ban landmines,
and both spoke to reporters at a briefing.
Williams said she saw climate change as a threat to security, and said desertification
of former agricultural land fuelled the conflict in Darfur.
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Carbon Emissions: Catch Them if You Can |
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By Rachel Oliver
CNN
Sunday 04 May 2008
* CO2 capturing takes emissions out of the atmosphere and into underground "lakes"
* Some fear it only encourages fossil fuel use and ignores bigger climate problems
* Cost and effectiveness of methods are still unproven
* Other methods to reduce CO2 in atmosphere include production of biochar
Despite plans to slash carbon dioxide (C02) emissions, the world still faces
a very basic, and very big, problem.
Many scientists believe the CO2 "tipping point" has been passed already.
There is already too much C02 sitting in the atmosphere, and put simply, it
needs to be somewhere else. That extra carbon has been building up since the
advent of the Industrial Revolution and continues to grow apace.
The latest scientific research says that greenhouse gases are now being pumped
out faster than at any point during the 1990's, largely because of the continued
dominance of fossil fuels.
The problem, however, is that fossil fuels don't look like they are going anywhere
anytime soon. Britain's leading economist Sir Nicholas Stern predicts that even
with the advances being made now in renewable energies, by 2050 half of the
world's energy needs will still be served by fossil fuels.
News like this has effectively boosted interested in carbon capture and storage
(CCS) technologies, which boldly promise to prevent 90 percent of power station
emissions from reaching the atmosphere.
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Freezing to Show Warming Trend |
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By Alex Rodriguez
The Chicago Tribune
Monday 05 May 2008
Though dismissed in Russia, scientist's climate research in remote Siberia is heating up discussions in the West.
Chersky,
Russia - Sergei Zimov waded through knee-deep snow to reach a frozen
lake where so much methane belches out of the melting permafrost that
it spews from the ice like small geysers.
In
the frigid twilight, the Russian scientist struck a match to make a jet
of the greenhouse gas visible. The sudden plume of fire threw him
backward. Zimov stood up, brushed the snow off his parka and beamed.
"Sometimes
a big explosion happens, because the gas comes out like a bomb," Zimov
said. "There are a million lakes like this in northern Siberia."
In
a country where many scientists scoff at the existence of global
warming, Zimov has been waging a lonely campaign to warn the world
about Russia's melting permafrost and its nexus with climate change.
His laboratory is the vast expanse of tundra and larch forest along the
East Siberian Sea, an icy corner of the world that Zimov has
scrutinized almost entirely on his own for 28 years.
Far
from the archetypal scientist, the beefy, 53-year-old Russian with a
mound of gray-brown hair and piercing blue eyes reigns over his patch
of Siberia not with pipette and beaker, but with the swagger of a
Cossack and an encyclopedic knowledge of his surroundings.
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Climate Change Hitting Arctic Faster, Harder |
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Environmental News Network
Wednesday 30 April 2008
Climate change is having a greater and faster impact on the Arctic than previously
thought, according to a new study by the global conservation organization WWF.
The new report, called Arctic Climate Impact Science - An Update Since
ACIA, represents the most wide-ranging reviews of arctic climate impact science
since the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (ACIA) was published in 2005.
The new study found that change was occurring in all arctic systems, impacting
on the atmosphere and oceans, sea ice and ice sheets, snow and permafrost, as
well as species and populations, food webs, ecosystems and human societies.
Melting of arctic sea ice and the Greenland Ice Sheet was found to be severely
accelerated, now even prompting the expert scientists to discuss whether both
may be close to their "tipping point" (the point where, because
of climate change, natural systems may experience sudden, rapid and possibly
irreversible change).
"The magnitude of the physical and ecological changes in the Arctic creates
an unprecedented challenge for governments, the corporate sector, community
leaders and conservationists to create the conditions under which arctic natural
systems have the best chance to adapt," said Dr Martin Sommerkorn, one
of the report's authors and Senior Climate Change Adviser at WWF International's
Arctic Programme.
"The debate can no longer focus only on creating protected areas and
allowing arctic ecosystems to find their balance."
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The Intent of the Carbon Tax Is to Make Us Feel the Pain |
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By Craig McInnes
The Vancouver Sun
Thursday 01 May 2008
Victoria, Canada - Ouch.
Ouch, ouch.
That,
in short, pretty much sums up the reaction from across the province to
the carbon tax announced by Finance Minister Carole Taylor in her
budget in February and finally introduced as legislation this week.
British
Columbians are starting to read the fine print on the revenue-neutral
guarantee, which promises to cut a dollar of other taxes for every
dollar raised by the new carbon tax, and are discovering that neutral
for the provincial treasury doesn't mean they won't be feeling any
pain.
What
galls is the apparent inequity: Islanders complain about having to pay
more for ferry service due to rising fuel costs. Northerners feel
singled out because of longer winters and the distances they drive.
Truckers complain they are being driven to the brink.
It's
the kind of reaction that usually sends politicians scurrying for their
bunkers from which they can be expected to emerge with a basket full of
loopholes to make everyone happy.
They
know voters who feel unfairly singled out for pain have long memories.
But to the surprise of many, the legislation introduced by Taylor this
week offered no such relief, nor could it without losing all
credibility.
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Sweden's Carbon-Tax Solution to Climate Change Puts It Top of the Green List |
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By Gwladys Fouché
The Guardian UK
Tuesday 29 April 2008
Buses
and lorries running on dead cows and a train station using commuters'
body warmth to heat an office block are two innovative solutions to
lowering carbon emissions that have put Sweden on top of an
environmental league table. Gwladys Fouché reports.
If
there's a paradise for environmentalists, this Nordic nation of 9.2
million people must be it. In 2007 Sweden topped the list of countries
that did the most to save the planet - for the second year running -
according to German environmental group, Germanwatch. Between 1990 and
2006 Sweden cut its carbon emissions by 9%, largely exceeding the
target set by the Kyoto Protocol, while enjoying economic growth of 44%
in fixed prices.
Under
Kyoto, Sweden was even told it could increase its emissions by 4% given
the progress it had already made. But "this was not considered
ambitious enough," explains Emma Lindberg, a climate change expert at
the Swedish Society for Nature Conservation.
"So
parliament decided to cut emissions by another 4% [below 1990 levels].
The mindset was 'we need to do what's good for the environment because
it's good for Sweden and its economy'."
The
main reason for this success, say experts, is the introduction of a
carbon tax in 1991. Swedes today pay an extra 2.34 kronor (20p) per
litre when they fill the tank (although many key industries receive tax
relief or are exempted). "Our carbon emissions would have been 20%
higher without the carbon tax," says the Swedish environment minister,
Andreas Carlgren.
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Warming Shifts Gardeners' Maps |
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By Elizabeth Weise
USA Today
Thursday 24 April 2008
Every
gardener is familiar with the multicolor U.S. map of climate zones on
the back of seed packets. It's the Department of Agriculture's
indicator of whether a flower, bush or tree will survive the winters in
a given region.
It's
also 18 years old. A growing number of meteorologists and
horticulturists say that because of the warming climate, the 1990 map
doesn't reflect a trend that home gardeners have noticed for more than
a decade: a gradual shift northward of growing zones for many plants.
The
map doesn't show, for example, that the Southern magnolia, once limited
largely to growing zones ranging from Florida to Virginia, now can
thrive as far north as Pennsylvania. Or that kiwis, long hardy only as
far north as Oklahoma, now might give fruit in St. Louis.
Such
shifts have put the USDA's map at the center of a new chapter in the
debate over how government should respond to climate changes that were
described in a report last year by a United Nations-backed panel of
scientists. The panel said there was "unequivocal" evidence of global
warming fueled by carbon dioxide emissions, which have created an
excess of the greenhouse gases that warm the Earth.
Climate
change is reshaping how people garden. Across the agricultural
industry, the issue is driving a dispute over climate maps that
involves economics, politics and meteorological standards.
At
nurseries across the nation, it has become common knowledge that the
government's climate map is out of date. And yet the nursery industry,
which had $16.9 billion in wholesale sales in 2006, has joined the USDA
in taking a conservative approach to changing the map.
A big reason: money.
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