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Scientific Reports
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Antarctic Melting May Be Speeding Up - Scientists |
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By Michael Byrnes
Reuters
Friday 23 March 2007
Hobart
- Rising sea levels and melting polar ice-sheets are at upper limits of
projections, leaving some human population centres already unable to
cope, top world scientists say as they analyse latest satellite data.
A
United Nations report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) in February projected sea level gains of 18-59 centimetres (7-23
inches) this century from temperature rises of 1.8-4.0 Celsius (3.2-7.8
Farenheit).
"Observations are in the very upper edge of the projections," leading Australian marine scientist John Church told Reuters.
"I
feel that we're getting uncomfortably close to threshhold," said
Church, of Australia's CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research said.
Past
this level, parts of the Antarctic and Greenland would approach a
virtually irreversible melting that would produce sea level rises of
metres, he said.
There
has been no repeat in the Antarctic of the 2002 break-up of part of the
Larsen ice shelf that created a 500 billion tonne iceberg as big as
Luxembourg.
But the Antarctic Peninsula is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth, and glaciers are in massive retreat.
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Material Shows Weakening of Climate Reports |
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By Andrew C. Revkin and Matthew L. Wald
The New York Times
Tuesday 20 March 2007
Washington - A House committee released documents Monday that showed
hundreds of instances in which a White House official who was previously an
oil industry lobbyist edited government climate reports to play up uncertainty
of a human role in global warming or play down evidence of such a role.
In a hearing of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, the
official, Philip A. Cooney, who left government in 2005, defended the changes
he had made in government reports over several years. Mr. Cooney said the editing
was part of the normal White House review process and reflected findings in
a climate report written for President Bush by the National Academy of Sciences
in 2001.
They were the first public statements on the issue by Mr. Cooney, the former
chief of staff of the White House Council on Environmental Quality. Before joining
the White House, he was the "climate team leader" for the American
Petroleum Institute, the main industry lobby in Washington.
He was hired by Exxon Mobil after resigning in 2005 following reports on the
editing in The New York Times. The White House said his resignation was not
related to the disclosures.
Mr. Cooney said his past work opposing restrictions on heat-trapping gases
for the oil industry had had no bearing on his actions once he joined the White
House. "When I came to the White House," he testified, "my sole
loyalties were to the president and his administration."
Mr. Cooney, who has no scientific background, said he had based his editing
and recommendations on what he had seen in good faith as the "most authoritative
and current views of the state of scientific knowledge."
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Sustainable Living: Scientists Have Plan to Fight Warming |
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By Shawn Dell Joyce
The Times Herald-Record
Sunday 18 March 2007
What
if I told you that we already have everything we need to resolve the
crisis of global warming, except action? Would you believe me? How
about believing two Princeton University economists?
Stephen
Pacala and Robert Socolow announced in August 2004 that "humanity
already possesses the fundamental scientific, technical, and industrial
know-how to solve the carbon and climate problems for the next
half-century."
Pacala and Socolow have devised "The Princeton Wedge."
Imagine
a graph going up at a sharp angle. This is the graph of projected U.S.
carbon emissions during the next half-century.
We
are now at 1.8 gigatons of carbon emissions per year, and headed toward
2.6 GtC in the next 45 years, if we keep the same energy-use patterns.
Pacala
and Socolow point out that we need to "drive a wedge" into that graph
by stabilizing emissions, then reducing them by half (0.9 GtC) in less
than 50 years. This will help us avoid some of the worst effects of
climate change, like the increasing acidification of the world's
oceans, the rising sea levels, and a 5-degree-or-higher rise in average
global temperature.
They pointed out that we need to stabilize our emissions first, and then reduce them over the next 50 years.
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New Climate Report: More Bad News |
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By Seth Borenstein
The Associated Press
Saturday 10 March 2007
Washington
- The harmful effects of global warming on daily life are already
showing up, and within a couple of decades hundreds of millions of
people won't have enough water, top scientists will say next month at a
meeting in Belgium.
At
the same time, tens of millions of others will be flooded out of their
homes each year as the Earth reels from rising temperatures and sea
levels, according to portions of a draft of an international scientific
report obtained by The Associated Press.
Tropical
diseases like malaria will spread. By 2050, polar bears will mostly be
found in zoos, their habitats gone. Pests like fire ants will thrive.
For
a time, food will be plentiful because of the longer growing season in
northern regions. But by 2080, hundreds of millions of people could
face starvation, according to the report, which is still being revised.
The
draft document by the authoritative Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change focuses on global warming's effects and is the second in a
series of four being issued this year. Written and reviewed by more
than 1,000 scientists from dozens of countries, it still must be edited
by government officials.
But
some scientists said the overall message is not likely to change when
it's issued in early April in Brussels, the same city where European
Union leaders agreed this past week to drastically cut greenhouse gas
emissions by 2020. Their plan will be presented to President Bush and
other world leaders at a summit in June.
The
report offers some hope if nations slow and then reduce their
greenhouse gas emissions, but it notes that what's happening now isn't
encouraging.
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Official Report Says US CO2 to Rise by 20 Percent |
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By Ed Pilkington
The Guardian UK
Monday 05 March 2007
Publication delayed for more than a year. Authors argue president's efforts "are working."
New
York - A draft report prepared by the Bush administration admits that
emissions of greenhouse gases by the United States will rise by 2020 to
20% above 2000 levels, flying in the face of warnings from scientists
that drastic action to cut emissions is needed if environmental
catastrophe is to be averted.
The
internal administration report, which has been obtained by the
Associated Press, should have been handed to the United Nations more
than a year ago as part of the world body's monitoring of climate
change, but its publication has been delayed. The draft estimates that
US emissions of so-called greenhouse gases, largely from the burning of
oil, coil and natural gas, will rise from 7.7bn tons in 2000 to 9.2bn
tons in 2020 - an increase of 19.5%.
The
growth is in line with expectations, but underlines how out of kilter
the US government is with world opinion and efforts to tackle climate
change. The Kyoto protocol, which the Bush administration has refused
to ratify partly on the grounds that it would damage the US economy,
demands of most developed countries that they reduce their 1990
emissions levels by 5% by 2012.
The
US produces about a quarter of the world's carbon dioxide and other
gases believed responsible for warming the world's atmosphere.
Environmentalists and green groups say that if irreversible global
warming is to be avoided far more stringent targets should be set than
even those proposed under the Kyoto protocol, which came into force two
years ago. On April 14 campaigners will be demonstrating in cities
across the US to call for 80% cuts by 2050.
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Breathing Earth: real-time simulation displays CO2 emissions of every country in the world, as well as birth and death rates. |
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