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Tuesday 27 January 2009
by: Joe McDonald and Charles J. Hanley, The Associated Press
Critics worry mechanism doesn't really promote new clean energy projects.
Xiaoxi, China - The hydroelectric dam, a low wall of
concrete slicing across an old farming valley, is supposed to help a
power company in distant Germany contribute to saving the climate -
while putting lucrative "carbon credits" into the pockets of Chinese
developers.
But in the end the new Xiaoxi dam may do nothing to lower
global-warming emissions as advertised. And many of the 7,500 people
displaced by the project still seethe over losing their homes and
farmland.
"Nobody asked if we wanted to move," said a 38-year-old man
whose family lost a small brick house. "The government just posted a
notice that said, 'Your home will be demolished."'
The dam will shortchange German consumers, Chinese
villagers and the climate itself, if critics are right. And Xiaoxi is
not alone.
Similar stories are repeated across China and elsewhere
around the world, as hundreds of hydro projects line up for carbon
credits, at a potential cost of billions to Europeans, Japanese and
soon perhaps Americans, in a trading system a new U.S. government
review concludes has "uncertain effects" on greenhouse-gas emissions.
One American expert is more blunt.
"The CDM" - the 4-year-old, U.N.-managed Clean Development
Mechanism - "is an excessive subsidy that represents a massive waste of
developed world resources," says Stanford University's Michael Wara.
Forced relocations have become common in China as people in
hundreds of communities are moved to clear land for factories and other
projects, provoking anger and occasionally violent protests. But what
happened here is unusual in highlighting not just the human costs, but
also the awkward fit between China's authoritarian system, in which
complaints of official abuse abound, and Western environmental ideals.
Those ideals produced the Clean Development Mechanism as a
market-based tool under the Kyoto Protocol, the 1997 agreement to
combat climate change. The CDM allows industrial nations, required by
Kyoto to reduce emissions of gases blamed for global warming, to comply
by paying developing nations to cut their emissions instead.
Companies thousands of miles away, such as Germany's
coal-burning, carbon dioxide-spewing RWE electric utility, accomplish
this by buying carbon credits the U.N. issues to clean-energy projects
like Xiaoxi's. The proceeds are meant to make such projects more
financially feasible.
Room for Abuse
As critics point out, however, if those projects were going to be built anyway, the climate doesn't gain, but loses.
Such projects "may allow covered entities" - such as RWE -
"to increase their emissions without a corresponding reduction in a
developing country," the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO)
said in its December review.
The system's defenders call it essential for hard-pressed
industrialized nations to meet their Kyoto quotas, and say the CDM's
standards are being tightened.
"It's not as if we're printing money in a garage," Yvo de
Boer, U.N. climate chief, said of the credits. "Lots of legitimate
questions are being asked," he acknowledged to The Associated Press,
but "that's why I'm happy we have a transparent process."
That transparency - online project documents and a U.N.
database - allowed the AP to analyze in detail this exploding market,
which attracts projects ranging from small solar-power efforts in
Africa, to emissions controls on giant chemical plants in India and
China.
The AP has found that hydroelectric projects, whose climate
impact is most widely questioned, have quickly become the No. 1
technology in the CDM, and China in particular is rushing in to
capitalize.
763 Hydro Projects From China
The Chinese now have at least 763 hydro projects in the CDM
approval pipeline and are adding an average of 25 a month. By 2012,
those projects alone are expected to generate more than 300 million
"certified emission reductions," each supposedly representing reduction
of one ton of carbon dioxide. Even at recent depressed market prices,
those credits would be worth $4 billion.
If the United States enters the Kyoto system, as proposed
by President Barack Obama, it would be the biggest player in a market
expected to be worth hundreds of billions a year by 2030.
Here in central China's mist-shrouded Zishui River valley,
evicted farmers worry not about carbon-market billions, but about the
thousands of Chinese yuan doled out to compensate them for lost homes
and farmland.
Xiaoxi residents said that when they were evicted in 2005
to make way for the dam and its 4-square-mile reservoir, officials paid
too little for condemned homes and forcibly removed owners who held out
for more.
They said payments for losing their rights to state-owned
land, where they grew beans and squash, were far below China's legally
required minimum, which they said requires payment of the value of at
least five years' harvests.
Residents spoke with the AP on condition their names not be used, to avoid trouble with authorities.
The dam's state-owned builder, Hunan Xinshao Xiaoxi
Hydropower Development Co., defended its dealings with the people of
Xiaoxi.
"The compensation standard we adopted was relatively high
compared with similar projects and was in accord with government
regulations," said Wang Yi, assistant to the company's general manager.
For their homes, people said they were paid government-set
prices of $4.60 to $5.70 per square foot. But such payments didn't go
far, even in this remote town surrounded by small tin mines and steep,
wooded hills.
"What I got certainly was not enough to buy a new place. We
had to borrow more," said a man who stood holding his 1-year-old
grandson in a street lined with new apartment buildings where some
relocated families have moved.
He said officials refused to discuss compensation for
thousands of yuan he had spent to fix up his family's house. "I refused
their offer, but they forced us out and demolished it," he said.
The dam company says local surveys found overwhelming
support for the project, with 97 percent of 212 respondents saying they
were satisfied with their compensation. But people interviewed in
Xiaoxi said they were not contacted for such surveys.
Industry of Consultants
The CDM money has spawned an industry of consultants who
help Chinese companies assemble bids for emissions credits, and of
U.N.-certified "validators," firms that then attest that projects meet
U.N. standards.
For Xiaoxi, the developer hired Germany's TUEV-SUED as
validator, and then commissioned it again later to confirm that the
project complied with European Union and German government requirements
on "stakeholder consultation" - that local people approve of the
project beforehand.
The TUEV-SUED report acknowledged that "the concerned
villagers and their leaders were not involved in the decision process."
But it contended the guidelines' "essence" was fulfilled because those
affected "have improved their living environment."
The German Emissions Trading Authority approved Xiaoxi
credits early last year, but that government agency now tells the AP it
is investigating questions newly raised about Xiaoxi. Julia
Scharlemann, spokeswoman for beneficiary utility RWE, said it also was
"making our own inquiries" regarding Xiaoxi.
A key question from environmentalists, led by the
U.S.-based group International Rivers, is whether projects meet the CDM
test of "additionality" - that they contribute to making real
reductions of greenhouses gases rather than be business-as-usual
projects capitalizing belatedly on the CDM bonanza.
At Xiaoxi, where the dam should be operating by 2010,
construction began in 2004, two years before the developers applied for
CDM credits, suggesting it would have been built without CDM money.
Would Dam Have Been Built Anyway?
Company official Wang counters that CDM money will help pay
retroactively for expensive Italian technology needed to cope with the
site's complex geology. "Without the money from trading emissions
credits, the project would be unprofitable," he said.
Environmentalists also point out that hydro power has long
been a national priority in China. Since the 1990s - long before the
CDM - the Chinese have added an average 7.7 gigawatts a year of hydro
power, equivalent to six Hoover Dams annually, International Rivers
reports.
In other words, Chinese planners aren't suddenly replacing emissions-heavy coal-fired power plants with emissions-free dams.
The Xiaoxi project design document, in fact, says Chinese
regulations would block the building of such a relatively low-output
coal plant here. But that's how planners determined the "emissions
reductions" from the $183-million, 135-megawatt dam - by calculating
how much carbon dioxide a 135-megawatt conventional power plant would
produce instead.
That bottom line - some 450,000 tons of global warming
gases each year - would be added to RWE's permitted emissions if it
buys the Xiaoxi credits, at a current annual cost of $8 million. And
such calculations will be repeated at 37 other Chinese hydro projects
where RWE will buy credits.
All told, the 38 are expected to produce more than 16
million CDM credits by 2012, legitimizing 16 million tons of emissions
in Germany, equivalent to more than 1 percent of annual German
emissions.
Utility Rate-Payers Foot the Bill
At today's low market prices, those credits would be worth
some $300 million, paid to Chinese developers and presumably billed to
German electricity customers, who by 2007 were already paying more than
double the U.S. average rate per kilowatt-hour.
Utilities from Italy's Edison to Tokyo Electric are making
similar deals for hydro-project credits in a dozen other countries,
from Peru to India to Vietnam.
Rather than reduce their own emissions, "firms in developed
countries are buying offsets that don't represent real behavioral
change, real reductions in emissions," said Wara, the environmental law
professor.
The U.S. GAO investigators said they learned that middlemen
sometimes manipulate project paperwork to show a need for CDM
financing, and they believe "a substantial number" of projects have
undeservedly received credits.
The CDM system "can be 'gamed' fairly easily," said German
expert Axel Michaelowa, both a critic and a CDM insider, as a member of
the U.N. team that registers CDM projects.
But Michaelowa said the CDM remains "a crucial bridge
between industrialized and developing countries." It has problems but
they can be solved, he said.
Christiana Figueres, a Costa Rican ex-member of the board
overseeing the CDM, echoed Michaelowa's view. She said it's crucial to
encourage China in particular, whose coal power plants make it the
world's biggest emitter of carbon dioxide, to build clean-energy
facilities. And she counters critics who oppose dams in general because
of their environmental impact.
"We cannot continue to demonize hydro," Figueres told the AP.
"Validator" Suspended
She and R.K. Sethi, the CDM Executive Board's Indian
chairman, both pointed to reforms since 2007: A reinforced U.N.
oversight staff, a validators' manual with stringent standards, and a
growing number of board reappraisals of validator findings.
In two recent dramatic steps, the board suspended the CDM's
most active validator, the Norwegian firm DNV, questioning its project
assessments, and it rejected its first Chinese hydro project - after
registering 139 others for credits. The project wasn't "additional,"
the board said, rejecting DNV's validation that it was.
But environmentalists say a total overhaul is needed,
shifting from project-by-project assessments that invite "gaming," to a
negotiated regime whereby the developed world, through aid funds,
subsidizes emissions cuts in the developing world more broadly,
industrial sector by sector.
As atmospheric carbon dioxide continues to rise,
threatening disruptive warming this century, the CDM pipeline continues
to swell, with 4,364 projects worldwide approved or awaiting approval,
one-quarter of them hydroelectric.
Here in Xiaoxi, meanwhile, where project credits await U.N.
approval, dam construction jobs have produced an economic boomlet, but
it's only temporary and people's grievances are not.
One group, hopeful still for a hearing, has written to
authorities with their plea for more yuan for farmers' lost way of
life.
"We strongly request that they give us an explanation and a satisfactory resolution," they wrote.
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