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Thursday 11 September 2008
by: Juliette Jowit, The Guardian UK
• Infrastructure investment must double, say experts.
• Climate change likely to put four billion people at risk.
Countries across the world will have to dramatically
increase investment in dams, pipes and other water infrastructure to
avoid widespread flooding, drought and disease even before climate
change accelerates these problems, experts have warned.
Investment needs to be at least doubled from the current
level of $80 billion (£45.5 billion) a year, an international congress
was told this week, and one leading authority said spending needed to
rise to 1.5% of gross domestic product just "to be able to cope with
the current climate" - one thousand times the current level.
The warnings follow a summer of dramatic events, from
hurricane flooding in the Caribbean and the east coast of America to
desperate measures in drought-stricken Mediterranean countries,
including importing water by ship.
Rich nations suffer huge under-investment, but the threat
of poor infrastructure to populations in developing countries is even
greater, said Dr Olcay Unver, director of the United Nations' Global
Water Assessment Unit.
So serious is the problem that next year the UN's World
Water Assessment Report will make one of its main messages the need for
investment to "accelerate substantially", said Unver.
"You can't justify the deaths of so many children because
of lack of infrastructure or lost productive time of people [who are]
intellectually or physically incapacitated because of simple lack of
access to safe water or sanitation," he added.
Dr Glen Daigger, senior vice-president of the International
Water Association, said there was growing evidence that spending on
clean water and sanitation was the single greatest contribution to
reducing disease and death. The UN has identified dams for hydropower
and irrigation as leading drivers of sustainable economic growth in
developing countries. "Water and sanitation is clearly a better
investment than medical intervention, but it's not sexy," added
Daigger.
Last year the World Bank called for investment in water
infrastructure to more than double from $80bn to $180bn over the next
20-25 years to cope with population growth and climate change, which
are expected to leave about 4 billion people living in "water stress"
areas - deemed to have insufficient water to meet daily needs.
Conditions would be particularly severe in Africa, the Middle East and
South Asia, said the bank. Water pollution and the threat to coastal
areas of erosion, sea level rise and storm surges are also growing
concerns.
However, experts meeting at the IWA conference of 2,700
water professionals in Vienna suggested the true scale of the problem
could be much higher.
Prof Pavel Kabat, one of the lead authors of the water
chapter in last year's report by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, said investment needed to rise to 1.5% of GDP for 20
years, just to cope with existing population demand and climate
variability. Africa, the region with the greatest lack of
infrastructure, would have to spend its entire forecast GDP growth for
more than half a century even to reach relatively modest levels of
water storage and supply; and even Europe would have to triple
spending.
Failure to invest would mean "we'd have more recurrent
floods and droughts because our systems are not able to take the
magnitude and frequency of water we're witnessing," he said. It would
also undermine other development spending in poorer nations, said
Kabat, citing the example of Kenya, where he said two extreme years of
wet and dry in the 1990s destroyed 40% of the country's wealth.
"If these things are not in place we can keep on building schools but we're not doing the right thing," he added.
Among the proposals to reduce costs, water users would have
to accept different grades of water, including a lower grade in gardens
and toilets, said Professor Alexander Zehnder, of the Alberta Water
Research Institute, Canada. "Why are we spending a lot of money to
clean the water and then we piss in it?"
Earlier this year the American Society of Civil Engineers
said the US needed to spend $1.6tn over five years to repair all its
crumbling infrastructure, and gave the worst assessment of all to the
water sector. Federal funds for drinking water were less than 10% of
what was needed.
In the UK the Institution of Civil Engineers said that
despite significant investment since water privatisation in 1989 many
mains pipes were extremely old and in poor condition, and
under-investment in new reservoirs had led to "insufficient winter
reserve storage to sustain supplies in extreme conditions".
Last year's floods in the UK exposed fears about the safety
of a reservoir dam in Yorkshire, leading to 100 homes being evacuated.
Yesterday the Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental
Management warned that floods were having "devastating" health, social
and economic consequences.
"Impacts can range from immediate death, injury and harm
from contaminated water, through to lasting psychological consequences
caused by damaged homes, loss of personal possessions and financial
worries," said the London-based institution.
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Brown Danube
The Danube
Despite its role in European history, the Danube has been
neglected. A report out today says that, despite improving, nearly half
its 1,771-mile length fails to meet European Union standards.
Many cities in former Soviet countries that line its banks
do not treat waste water and flush the sewage of millions of residents
straight into Europe's second-longest river and down to the Black Sea.
The International Commission for the Protection of the
Danube River, which has published the report, says more than 200
schemes costing €4.5bn (£3.6bn) are needed just to treat waste water.
Drinking water supply projects costing about half that much again are
also required, said Philip Weller, the commission's executive
secretary.
But the affected countries are all in eastern Europe and do
not have the money, he said. "The hope is some of those investments
will come from the European Union; some will have to come direct from
the countries."
Africa
Water stress is defined as having less than 1,000 cubic
meters of water a year per person. By this definition up to 2.1 million
people already have too little, and population growth and more variable
rainfall threaten to make this much worse.
The problems are acute in south-east Asia and Africa, but
Africa is least able to cope. Average US storage capability is 6,000
cubic metres; in China it is less than half of that and in many
countries in Africa it is minuscule. To bring the region up to South
Africa's level of nearly 750 cubic metres would need all the estimated
5%-7% rise in national income every year for up to 80 years.
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